Shelly Beach: 気象統計と風の歴史

30.8038° S, 30.4141° E
21.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (1.9 m)
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • High gust forecast (21.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.5 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (2.6 m)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 15.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (9.6 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.0 m)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 4.2 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
  • Low breeze chance — 26% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (4.2 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (1.7 m)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (LEW 11.2 m/s vs ECMWF 5.2 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (2.9 m)
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