- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 13.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (ECMWF 9.8 m/s vs ICON Global 4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.4 m/s)
- High gust forecast (26.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ECMWF 18.7 m/s vs ICON Global 13.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- High gust forecast (22.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.9 m/s, gusts 19.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- High gust forecast (23.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (GFS27 13.0 m/s vs ECMWF 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)