- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (AROME 11.9 m/s vs LEW 6.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 82% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)