- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (AROME 14.3 m/s vs LEW 7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability