- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.3 m/s) (AROME 15.1 m/s vs LEW 4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 11.2 m/s vs ICON EU 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 10.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)