isla nauguru: 気象統計と風の歴史

52.4869° S, 74.5205° W
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 5.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.8°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.0 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (22.3 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 18.0 m/s vs LEW 12.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.9°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (ECMWF 13.0 m/s vs LEW 6.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.9°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 48% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.0°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
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