- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (AROME 8.9 m/s vs LEW 3.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.8 m/s, gusts 3.8 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 88% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.6 m/s, gusts 4.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.8 m/s, gusts 4.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 3.6 m/s, gusts 3.7 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 90% probability