kaiumu: 気象統計と風の歴史

41.2451° S, 173.8° E
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.8 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (LEW 13.5 m/s vs GFS27 7.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 16.3 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.2 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (LEW 7.3 m/s vs GFS27 2.2 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
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