kaiumu: weather statistics and wind history

41.2451° S, 173.8° E
28.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (LEW 13.3 m/s vs GFS27 6.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (2.5 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.0 m/s) (LEW 10.6 m/s vs GFS27 2.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • High gust forecast (20.3 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (LEW 11.9 m/s vs GFS27 5.4 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
01.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
02.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • High gust forecast (21.4 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.5 m/s) (LEW 16.3 m/s vs ICON Global 5.8 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
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