- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (HRRR 9.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (5.7 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (5.1 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (5.7 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (5.7 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)