- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (HRRR 7.9 m/s vs ICON Global 2.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (HRRR 9.7 m/s vs ICON Global 4.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (18.0°C)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (17.9°C)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (17.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (18.0°C)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (17.9°C)
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (17.9°C)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability