- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs ICON Global 3.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 4.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 62% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 10.6 m/s) (GFS27 15.4 m/s vs ECMWF 4.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability