- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.8 m/s) (AROME 13.1 m/s vs LEW 5.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 5.1 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 74% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)