- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 11.0 m/s vs LEW 5.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability