- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (HRRR 12.3 m/s vs ICON Global 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (NAM 8.3 m/s vs ICON Global 3.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (1.8 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ECMWF 7.9 m/s vs ICON Global 1.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)