10.09.2026 (Thursday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (1.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (HRRR 8.5 m/s vs GFS27 1.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (HRRR 9.0 m/s vs ICON Global 3.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.8°C)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
13.09.2026 (Sunday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
14.09.2026 (Monday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 9.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
15.09.2026 (Tuesday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
16.09.2026 (Wednesday)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs ECMWF 9.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
