- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.6 m/s vs LEW 8.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.2 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 16.2 m/s vs LEW 10.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 11.7 m/s vs ICON Global 6.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.2 m/s vs ICON Global 4.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.3 m/s, gusts 14.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability