21.08.2026 (Friday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 5.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.3°C)
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.4°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.8°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (ECMWF 12.4 m/s vs LEW 6.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.3°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.5°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (9.7°C)
