- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (GFS27 8.8 m/s vs NAM 2.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability