- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (NAM 13.6 m/s vs LEW 6.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (3.6 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.1°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (HRRR 11.4 m/s vs ICON Global 5.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (2.7 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.1°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (9.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (5.7 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.9 m/s, gusts 4.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.9 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (6.3 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.9 m/s, gusts 5.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.9 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (6.7 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.9°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.7 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (6.4 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (31.0°C)