- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.8 m/s vs LEW 7.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 18.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (18.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 14.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (14.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.7 m/s, gusts 5.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 76% probability
- High gust forecast (21.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 13.9 m/s vs ECMWF 7.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability