- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (AROME 8.3 m/s vs LEW 2.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 43% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 13.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)