- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.4 m/s)
- High gust forecast (22.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (GFS27 15.4 m/s vs LEW 9.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.4 m/s, gusts 19.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 13.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.7 m/s, gusts 17.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.1 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 15.1 m/s vs LEW 9.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability