- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (AROME 12.9 m/s vs ECMWF 7.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (16.6 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.0 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 13.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 13.3 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 92% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 86% probability