- Wind too light – not suitable (3.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability
- High water temperature (25.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 8.3 m/s vs ICON Global 2.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)