- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.0 m/s vs LEW 4.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- High water temperature (28.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- High water temperature (28.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- High water temperature (27.9°C)