- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.5 m/s) (AROME 13.4 m/s vs ECMWF 3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 5.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability