- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (AROME 12.6 m/s vs ICON Global 4.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 79% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 70% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 5.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)