- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 13.5 m/s vs LEW 7.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.9 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (15.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.6°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.3°C)