- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (AROME 14.4 m/s vs ICON Global 7.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 9.4 m/s vs ICON Global 2.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (16.2 m/s)