- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 9.6 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.1 m/s, gusts 17.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.5 m/s, gusts 19.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 17.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 9.6 m/s vs LEW 4.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)