- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.5 m/s) (AROME 14.8 m/s vs GFS27 8.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.0 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 5.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.7°C)