- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 8.7 m/s vs LEW 3.2 m/s)
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 5.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 5.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 4.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability