- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (ECMWF 11.1 m/s vs ACCESS-C 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (ECMWF 11.7 m/s vs LEW 6.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.4 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Dangerous wave height forecast (4.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 13.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.6 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.9 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- High gust forecast (21.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 14.4 m/s vs LEW 9.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.4 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)