- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ICON Global 13.2 m/s vs LEW 7.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.8 m/s)
- High gust forecast (24.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 13.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (ICON Global 16.5 m/s vs ECMWF 10.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 13.0 m/s, gusts 15.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.0 m/s) (GFS27 15.2 m/s vs ICON Global 6.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)