- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (GFS27 14.5 m/s vs ECMWF 8.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (14.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 14.7 m/s, gusts 17.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (14.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 14.8 m/s, gusts 18.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (14.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.9 m/s, gusts 16.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability