- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 11.8 m/s vs ICON Global 6.5 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.6 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.1 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability