- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (HRRR 16.1 m/s vs LEW 8.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Wetsuit required (16.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (NAM 14.4 m/s vs LEW 8.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Wetsuit required (15.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (ECMWF 9.5 m/s vs LEW 4.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (16.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Wetsuit required (17.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.3 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 12.9 m/s vs LEW 6.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 12.9 m/s vs LEW 7.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (17.7°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability