- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 14.5 m/s) (AROME 17.3 m/s vs LEW 2.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 9.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs ICON EU 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)