- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 12.2 m/s vs ICON Global 6.2 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.9 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.1 m/s, gusts 11.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 12.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability