- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (GFS27 9.3 m/s vs ICON D2 2.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.7 m/s, gusts 14.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 17.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.4 m/s vs ECMWF 6.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.6 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.4 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 12.3 m/s) (GFS27 16.6 m/s vs ECMWF 4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability