- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (ECMWF 11.9 m/s vs AROME 3.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 13.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 68% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability