- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (AROME 12.7 m/s vs ICON EU 7.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (ICON Global 11.2 m/s vs AROME 5.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.3 m/s, gusts 17.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (GFS27 9.9 m/s vs ICON EU 1.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.8 m/s) (GFS27 11.5 m/s vs ICON Global 3.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)