- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.5 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 15.5 m/s vs LEW 9.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 77% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability