- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 7.4 m/s vs LEW 2.2 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 75% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 4.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.6 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 69% probability