- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 10.1 m/s vs ICON Global 4.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 4.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability