- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 11.1 m/s vs ICON Global 5.0 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.2°C)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.1 m/s, gusts 11.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.3°C)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 15.0 m/s vs ICON Global 9.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (GFS27 13.3 m/s vs ICON Global 6.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (7.3°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.0 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.3 m/s) (GFS27 18.0 m/s vs ECMWF 9.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (ICON Global 18.8 m/s vs GFS27 13.7 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (6.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability