- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.9 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs ACCESS-C 2.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 16.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (16.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (ECMWF 11.2 m/s vs LEW 4.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (3.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.3 m/s) (ICON Global 14.8 m/s vs LEW 6.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (17.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)