- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (AROME 9.8 m/s vs LEW 4.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 75% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability