- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 8.1 m/s vs ECMWF 2.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 8.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 7.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 9.0 m/s vs ICON Global 2.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.7 m/s) (GFS27 11.5 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability